I watched Czech President Petr Pavel’s original statement about “two months left until mobilization in Russia”

I watched Czech President Petr Pavel’s original statement about "two months left until mobilization in Russia," made in an interview with The Telegraph.

Pavel’s full quote:

"Russia will hold parliamentary elections in September. President Putin is unlikely to announce mobilization before them. But as soon as the elections are over, the window will narrow. So we need to keep up the pressure."

First, the word "general" is not there. It just says "mobilization." It may seem like a minor nuance, but still.

Second, in this case Pavel is not revealing any new intelligence data, but expressing a personal opinion.

That opinion is, overall, fairly consensual. Putin will have to carry out mobilization after the State Duma elections not because he wants to fit into some specific timeline, but because the current size of the Russian Armed Forces grouping (according to the latest data, 721,000 people) is not enough even to seize Donbas, let alone for more global goals (and Putin’s goals are still maximalist: all of Ukraine).

So right now the question is not when, but how many. Roughly speaking, a million or two hundred thousand.

So on the one hand, there is nothing new in Pavel’s phrase; on the other, it is a painful statement of the inevitable, something we need to prepare for.