Clément Molin Mapped Ukrainian Fortifications and Defensive Lines on the South-Easte...

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Clément Molin mapped Ukrainian fortifications and defensive lines on the southeastern front (roughly from Zaporizhzhia to Lyman): kilometers of anti-tank ditches with barbed wire.

Today The New York Times, citing Black Bird Group, wrote that at the current pace (February-April), it will take Russia three decades to capture the whole of Donbas.

I do not like these calculations because, first, for Ukraine this is about human lives, and second, the pace can change. It is obvious that Russia's spring-summer campaign has not yet gathered momentum.

Although it is just as obvious that this year Russia's offensive campaign is delayed: last year the intensification began in the final days of April and peaked in the second half of May.

I do not want to speculate about the future, but one conclusion can still be drawn from this map: Ukraine is building fortifications faster than Russia is overcoming them.

Ditches Are Winning the Race Again

At the current pace, Russia needs three decades to take all Donbas.

The breakthrough is still behind the ditches.